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Articles and Working Papers

 (There may be more here)


Pandemic: An Open Source Simulation of Millions of People Highlighting Testing, Commuting, Density and Compliance (article)


A Fundamental Theorem for Epidemiology (article)

obits of symmetric group


Modeling the Term Structure of a Pandemic with Negative Interest Rates (article)

bonds 

 

 

 

 


Herd Immunity is a Mirage. Why You Can't Use 1/R to Predict the Outcome of a Pandemic. (article)

 


Dear New Zealand: Here's a simulation of 4.8 million citizens moving about spreading a virus - it runs on a laptop (article)


Backdraft. How a small change to a COVID-19 model admits a new, explosive possibility (paper) (article)


Got Milk? On Homogenization and Survival Probability (article) (working paper)

 


A Parable About A Run on Log Paper (article) (working paper)

Alien Number


How Population Shape Tilts Your Odds of Getting COVID-19 (article)(working paper)

 

population shape